Hovding vs Ålgård analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hovding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
HFC
0 - 3
VID
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
ASA
1 - 3
HFC
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
HFC
2 - 3
KLE
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
NFC
5 - 1
HFC
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -3 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
HFC
0 - 0
FAN
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ålgård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
BAR
4 - 1
ALG
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
ALG
4 - 2
BRA
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
VFC
2 - 1
ALG
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ALG
2 - 1
LOV
18%
21%
60%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
FYL
3 - 1
ALG
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |