CONCACAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 0-3
Houston Dynamo vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
NER
3 - 0
HOD
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
HOD
3 - 1
MUN
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
MUN
0 - 0
HOD
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
NER
1 - 2
HOD
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
HOD
2 - 0
KCW
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
PFC
1 - 0
SAP
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
SAP
3 - 0
ATL
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2008 |
LDA
0 - 1
SAP
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAP
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SAP
4 - 2
PFC
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |