Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
DAL
1 - 0
HOD
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
HOD
4 - 3
DCU
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
HOD
0 - 1
NER
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
SES
2 - 1
HOD
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 1
HOD
33%
28%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CFS
1 - 0
RSL
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
SES
0 - 0
CFS
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CFS
2 - 0
SJE
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CFS
0 - 0
COC
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
COR
1 - 2
CFS
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |