Houston Dynamo II vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Houston Dynamo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
AFC
2 - 0
HOU
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
HOU
2 - 4
VAN
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
HOU
3 - 0
NOT
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
COR
2 - 1
HOU
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
STL
1 - 0
HOU
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
SAN
4 - 0
MON
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
AFC
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
TAC
2 - 2
MON
73%
16%
10%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 1
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
MON
1 - 3
STL
18%
22%
61%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |