Hottain vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hottain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
HOT
1 - 1
ALT
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 0
HOT
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
HOT
5 - 0
ANS
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
ALS
3 - 1
HOT
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
ALK
1 - 3
HOT
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
NAJ
2 - 3
ALT
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
ALQ
1 - 1
NAJ
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
ALJ
1 - 2
NAJ
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALB
25%
27%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
NAJ
1 - 3
ALT
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |