Hottain vs Jerash analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hottain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HOT
2 - 3
TFC
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 1
HOT
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
HOT
1 - 2
AFC
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JRS
3 - 1
HOT
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HOT
0 - 2
TAR
30%
26%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jerash
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
JRS
1 - 3
ALB
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 2
JRS
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 1
JRS
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JRS
3 - 1
HOT
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ALJ
3 - 1
JRS
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |