Hosingen vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
80.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
13º
11º
84
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hosingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HOS
2 - 1
ERP
61%
18%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FEU
0 - 2
HOS
85%
9%
5%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
HOS
2 - 6
JUS
15%
20%
66%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KEH
4 - 1
HOS
77%
13%
10%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HOS
6 - 0
FCA
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 5
LOR
4%
11%
85%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FFN
0 - 4
LOR
11%
16%
73%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
3 - 1
YBD
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ERP
1 - 7
LOR
6%
13%
82%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 0
FEU
62%
20%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |