Horsham vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
HOR
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 3
HOR
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 6
HOR
17%
22%
60%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 0
HOR
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 1
LEW
22%
22%
57%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 3
CHE
16%
20%
64%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BIS
3 - 1
WIN
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 4
FOL
16%
19%
66%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HAN
1 - 0
WIN
57%
21%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |