Horsham vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
68.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
RAM
1 - 1
HOR
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
0 - 2
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 4
HOR
13%
19%
68%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
HOR
2 - 0
COR
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
FAV
1 - 1
HOR
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TOO
2 - 0
WAL
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HAS
0 - 1
TOO
32%
23%
46%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
THR
3 - 5
TOO
9%
15%
76%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TOO
3 - 1
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GOD
0 - 3
TOO
6%
13%
81%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |