Horsham vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 1
WIN
78%
14%
9%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 4
HOR
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
HOR
3 - 2
MET
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MET
1 - 1
HOR
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 1
FOL
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
DAR
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
DAR
3 - 4
DOR
29%
26%
46%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
TON
3 - 2
DAR
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DAR
1 - 1
HEM
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
HUN
2 - 2
DAR
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |