Horsham vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 2
WIN
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
LEA
2 - 1
HOR
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 5
EAS
10%
16%
74%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
HOR
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
HOR
14%
21%
65%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 1
LEA
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CON
1 - 2
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 3
WIN
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 4
CAN
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 1
WEA
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |