Horsham vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 1
MAI
54%
24%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 2
BIL
26%
27%
47%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
TOO
1 - 2
HOR
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
LOW
4 - 0
HOR
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
WHI
2 - 0
HOR
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAN
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CAN
4 - 2
CRA
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
KIN
3 - 1
CAN
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 0
FOL
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 1
WEA
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |