Horsham vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HAR
6 - 1
HOR
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
HOR
0 - 1
BIL
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
HOR
0 - 0
HOR
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
HOR
0 - 2
WEA
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BOR
0 - 2
HOR
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HEY
2 - 3
CAN
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CAN
3 - 1
TOO
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
CAN
4 - 0
BOR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAN
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CAN
5 - 2
HAS
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |