Horsham vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
MOL
1 - 3
HOR
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
HOR
3 - 3
BUR
79%
13%
7%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
WHY
1 - 1
HOR
18%
22%
61%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
HOR
4 - 1
FLE
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
DUL
2 - 2
HOR
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 1
COR
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
MET
2 - 1
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ATK
2 - 0
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
BAS
3 - 2
KIN
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
MOL
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |