Horsham vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 0
HOR
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
BIL
1 - 0
HOR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
HOR
5 - 1
LFC
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
HOR
1 - 1
RAM
63%
21%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
HOR
3 - 1
HOR
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
HAR
0 - 2
AFC
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
AFC
0 - 1
BOR
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
AFC
2 - 2
TON
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
BIL
2 - 2
AFC
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
FOL
3 - 2
AFC
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |