Horsham vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 3
HOR
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 1
HEY
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
HOR
4 - 0
SLO
77%
15%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
BIL
1 - 0
HOR
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 1
BRO
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
AFC
3 - 2
BRO
55%
25%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
TON
1 - 3
AFC
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
AFC
4 - 0
EAS
74%
17%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
AFC
4 - 2
HAR
74%
18%
9%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CHM
0 - 3
AFC
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |