Horsham YMCA vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 2
HOR
42%
21%
37%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FIS
1 - 2
HOR
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
HOR
0 - 2
THR
77%
14%
8%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 3
HYB
79%
12%
8%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
AVE
4 - 1
HOR
57%
22%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HAY
3 - 0
TOO
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
TOO
3 - 1
CHI
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
TOO
2 - 1
HOR
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TOO
0 - 0
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
4 - 3
TOO
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |