AC Horsens vs Middelfart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
9º
6º
0
9º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
0 | 43 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 38 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 38 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 36 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 32 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 30 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 30 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 30 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 24 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
9º
|
0 | 23 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 23 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 20 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
47.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52.5% | 84.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ACH
0 - 0
AAF
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
LYN
3 - 1
ACH
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
AGF
2 - 1
ACH
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FCN
2 - 1
ACH
71%
16%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
HVI
1 - 1
ACH
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
HIL
2 - 1
MID
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
KOL
1 - 1
MID
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
HBK
5 - 0
MID
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
MID
1 - 0
SKI
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
AKA
4 - 0
MID
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |