Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 4-3
AC Horsens vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 2
MID
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
SIF
0 - 2
ACH
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 4
FCN
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FCN
3 - 0
ACH
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ACH
3 - 1
AGF
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
DJU
0 - 0
ELF
26%
27%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ELF
2 - 0
DAC
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ELF
3 - 0
KAL
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
DAC
1 - 0
ELF
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
KAL
2 - 1
ELF
36%
26%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |