AC Horsens vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RAN
0 - 0
ACH
34%
26%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
HEL
0 - 4
ACH
14%
20%
65%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 0
FCK
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 0
ESB
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SIF
1 - 1
ACH
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AGF
0 - 2
FCK
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
LYN
3 - 2
AGF
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OBK
2 - 4
AGF
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 1
RAN
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SON
0 - 3
AGF
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |