AC Horsens vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
9º
6º
1
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
0 | 43 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 38 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 38 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 36 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 32 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 30 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
1 | 30 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 30 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 24 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 23 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 23 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 20 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
47.5% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52.5% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
LYN
3 - 1
ACH
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
AGF
2 - 1
ACH
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FCN
2 - 1
ACH
71%
16%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
HVI
1 - 1
ACH
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ACH
0 - 3
FRE
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
SIF
1 - 3
AAF
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 1
BFR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
SKI
1 - 1
AAF
18%
23%
60%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
AAF
0 - 0
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
AKA
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |