AC Horsens vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
FRE
0 - 1
ACH
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
ACH
3 - 3
FAR
48%
24%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
BRØ
1 - 3
ACH
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ACH
2 - 2
RAN
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
B19
0 - 0
ACH
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
AAF
2 - 1
HVI
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
B93
1 - 0
AAF
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
AAF
1 - 2
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
KOL
2 - 0
AAF
40%
25%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
AAF
1 - 2
KBK
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |