Horley Town vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 1
COL
34%
22%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 1
CRO
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 2
HOR
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 0
SPE
58%
19%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
4 - 0
PUN
22%
19%
59%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
TOO
4 - 2
CRO
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
TOO
4 - 2
BAL
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
JBF
0 - 1
TOO
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
TOO
2 - 4
ANF
13%
17%
71%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ANF
3 - 3
TOO
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |