Horizonte vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
HOR
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 2
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 0
FOR
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
HOR
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
HOR
0 - 1
UNI
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
FER
4 - 0
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
CEA
10%
18%
72%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |