Horizon Patho vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
55.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
MAG
3 - 0
LOS
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAG
0 - 2
DRE
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MAG
2 - 1
BEL
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
MAG
4 - 4
WET
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MAG
2 - 2
WAC
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |