Horitschon vs Oberwart / Rotenturm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
54.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
9º
15º
10º
74
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 1
HOR
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 0
RIT
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +3 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
HOR
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 3
KLI
19%
20%
60%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STM
2 - 1
HOR
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oberwart / Rotenturm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OBR
2 - 0
82%
11%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 2
OBR
37%
21%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
OBR
0 - 2
LEI
72%
16%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 0
OBR
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OBR
2 - 0
ASK
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |