Horadada vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horadada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ELC
2 - 2
HOR
33%
28%
39%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
THA
0 - 0
HOR
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
HOR
1 - 1
ALC
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
HOR
0 - 2
POL
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
CAL
3 - 0
HOR
22%
26%
52%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
0 - 4
THA
36%
26%
38%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAL
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALB
48%
25%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
CAL
3 - 0
HOR
22%
26%
52%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +3 |