Hoogland vs Venray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
15º
4º
43
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoogland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 1
HOO
39%
23%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HOO
2 - 1
RKZ
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MEE
1 - 0
HOO
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HOO
1 - 3
HVC
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 1
HOO
45%
24%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 1
UNI
68%
16%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
4 - 0
ORI
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 0
VEN
29%
22%
49%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 0
RKZ
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HVC
1 - 1
VEN
35%
22%
43%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |