Hoogland vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
12º
9º
38
2º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoogland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HUI
5 - 0
HOO
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HOO
3 - 0
ARC
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HOO
0 - 1
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SJC
1 - 0
HOO
49%
22%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 1
HOO
27%
22%
51%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SWI
0 - 1
ALP
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 1
AJA
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TER
2 - 3
SWI
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HUI
2 - 0
SWI
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 4
SWI
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |