Hongg vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
HON
61%
20%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HON
1 - 4
KRE
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HON
1 - 2
FCW
67%
17%
15%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
HON
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HON
3 - 1
TUG
13%
19%
68%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 3
WIN
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TAV
0 - 2
FRE
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 1
FRE
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 0
KOS
47%
21%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
FRE
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |