Hongg vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FCG
3 - 2
HON
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MEN
4 - 1
HON
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HON
2 - 2
KRE
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCG
4 - 3
HON
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
HON
1 - 1
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FCT
5 - 1
FCM
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 0
RSZ
61%
22%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
FCT
2 - 0
KOS
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SUB
0 - 3
FCT
18%
22%
61%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
FCT
1 - 0
WOH
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |