Hongg vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FCO
5 - 3
HON
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HON
3 - 2
FCW
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
KUS
0 - 0
HON
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HON
3 - 2
FCW
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
RSZ
5 - 2
HON
38%
24%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FCT
0 - 0
SEE
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FCL
3 - 1
FCT
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
FCT
3 - 3
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
DUL
0 - 3
FCT
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 1
FCT
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |