Hongg vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
3 - 2
HON
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HON
1 - 2
DUL
58%
20%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 0
HON
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HON
4 - 0
JUV
82%
12%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
WOH
1 - 2
HON
37%
23%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AAR
5 - 1
KRU
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OLT
0 - 1
AAR
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AAR
0 - 3
PAJ
38%
22%
41%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AAR
2 - 2
ROT
73%
15%
13%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DUL
4 - 1
AAR
46%
20%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |