Hongg vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MUT
1 - 1
HON
34%
24%
43%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
HON
4 - 1
LIE
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KRU
0 - 3
HON
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
HON
0 - 0
DOR
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
BIN
1 - 1
HON
28%
22%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
AAR
4 - 2
SEE
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RSZ
3 - 1
AAR
34%
23%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MUT
0 - 2
AAR
24%
21%
54%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AAR
1 - 3
LIE
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
KRU
1 - 2
AAR
14%
17%
69%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |