Hong Ngai vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
54.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Ngai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
LAI
0 - 0
HNM
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
HNM
5 - 1
CLU
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ADG
0 - 0
HNM
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
HNM
0 - 0
GDA
57%
19%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
HNM
2 - 0
MFA
84%
11%
6%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
SMA
3 - 1
MFA
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CPO
0 - 3
SMA
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 0
ALF
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CHW
0 - 5
SMA
14%
20%
66%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GDA
0 - 4
SMA
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |