Hong Ngai vs Lun Lok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
49.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-170%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Ngai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
HNM
1 - 6
BFC
24%
20%
56%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CDT
6 - 0
HNM
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
HNM
0 - 2
CLU
37%
21%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
HLM
3 - 1
HNM
55%
21%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
HNM
1 - 0
CHE
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
LUL
0 - 2
CHW
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
BFC
4 - 0
LUL
53%
20%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LUL
0 - 2
GDA
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
CDT
3 - 1
LUL
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
LUL
4 - 0
HON
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |