Hong Lok vs Alfândega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BFC
3 - 2
HLM
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
HLM
10 - 0
BFC
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +5 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
HLM
0 - 3
CDT
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
HLM
2 - 0
CLU
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
HLM
2 - 2
LUL
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alfândega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 0
MFA
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 4
MCA
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -6 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 3
HSA
32%
21%
47%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
1 - 0
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 5
BEN
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |