Hong Kong vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
73.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
VIE
1 - 0
HKG
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 0
HKG
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HKG
1 - 1
SGP
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HKG
0 - 0
MMR
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
HKG
2 - 0
MMR
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
TWN
2 - 2
THA
8%
14%
78%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
UAE
2 - 0
THA
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SYR
3 - 1
THA
37%
24%
40%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
THA
1 - 0
VIE
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
VIE
2 - 2
THA
33%
23%
44%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |