Hong Kong vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
76.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
PRK
2 - 0
HKG
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
HKG
0 - 1
LBN
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
HKG
0 - 2
BHR
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
HKG
2 - 0
MAS
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
HKG
4 - 0
LAO
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
THA
0 - 2
CHN
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
THA
2 - 3
SVK
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
THA
0 - 0
GAB
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
THA
1 - 0
KEN
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
MMR
1 - 3
THA
7%
13%
80%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |