Hong Kong vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
79.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 0
TJK
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
1 - 4
UZB
9%
16%
76%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2003 |
SGP
4 - 1
HKG
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
BGD
2 - 2
HKG
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
HKG
5 - 1
LAO
85%
11%
5%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
UZB
3 - 0
THA
40%
22%
38%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
THA
0 - 1
TJK
92%
6%
2%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2003 |
THA
2 - 0
IND
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
THA
3 - 1
QAT
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
THA
1 - 4
SWE
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |