Hong Kong vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
KWT
2 - 1
HKG
75%
16%
8%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1989 |
PRK
4 - 1
HKG
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
IDN
3 - 2
HKG
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
JPN
0 - 0
HKG
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
HKG
1 - 1
IDN
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
YEM
0 - 0
THA
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1990 |
THA
1 - 1
IDN
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1990 |
THA
2 - 1
KEN
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
IDN
0 - 0
THA
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1989 |
MAS
1 - 0
THA
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |