Hong Kong vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
67.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
3 - 1
CHN
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
2 - 3
KOR
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
0 - 0
CHN
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
0 - 3
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1995 |
HKG
1 - 3
YUG
12%
24%
64%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1997 |
RUS
1 - 1
YUG
26%
24%
51%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1996 |
ARG
2 - 3
YUG
42%
26%
32%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
ESP
2 - 0
YUG
51%
24%
25%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
YUG
1 - 0
CZE
90%
7%
3%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
FRO
1 - 8
YUG
6%
17%
78%
|
93 | 58 | 35 | 0 |