Hong Kong vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1961 |
SGP
4 - 3
HKG
47%
21%
32%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1961 |
THA
1 - 2
HKG
53%
20%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1961 |
IDN
2 - 2
HKG
61%
18%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1960 |
SGP
2 - 3
HKG
52%
20%
28%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1960 |
IDN
3 - 1
HKG
58%
19%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1961 |
JPN
0 - 1
YUG
32%
23%
46%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
KOR
1 - 3
YUG
51%
21%
28%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
YUG
2 - 1
AUT
70%
16%
15%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
YUG
5 - 1
KOR
88%
8%
5%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1961 |
POL
1 - 1
YUG
28%
22%
50%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |