Hong Kong vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
75.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 3
PLE
17%
23%
59%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 1
IRN
6%
15%
78%
|
47 | 90 | 43 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UAE
3 - 1
HKG
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 2
KSA
7%
17%
76%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
HKG
1 - 2
TJK
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 1
UZB
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
UZB
2 - 1
THA
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 1
UZB
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
IND
0 - 3
UZB
12%
19%
69%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
UZB
0 - 0
SYR
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |