Hong Kong vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
77.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 4
THA
8%
15%
77%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
2 - 1
THA
7%
14%
80%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 0
TJK
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
1 - 4
UZB
9%
16%
76%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2003 |
SGP
4 - 1
HKG
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2003 |
UZB
4 - 1
TJK
87%
10%
4%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
TJK
0 - 0
UZB
7%
14%
79%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
UZB
3 - 0
THA
40%
22%
38%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
1 - 4
UZB
9%
16%
76%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
UAE
2 - 2
UZB
51%
21%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |