Hong Kong vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
2.3%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.2%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.1%
87.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
19.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
16.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
19.9%
0-4
11%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 1
TJK
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 1
UZB
8%
15%
77%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 4
THA
8%
15%
77%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
2 - 1
THA
7%
14%
80%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
HKG
0 - 0
TJK
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 1
BGR
51%
26%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
KOR
7 - 0
NPL
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 41 | 49 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
OMA
3 - 1
KOR
8%
15%
77%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 1
VIE
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2003 |
KOR
16 - 0
NPL
90%
8%
2%
|
91 | 43 | 48 | 0 |