Hong Kong vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1997 |
HKG
1 - 3
YUG
11%
21%
68%
|
58 | 93 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
3 - 1
CHN
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
2 - 3
KOR
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
0 - 0
CHN
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
0 - 3
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
KOR
3 - 1
NZL
65%
22%
14%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
AUS
2 - 1
KOR
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
KOR
1 - 0
NOR
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1996 |
KOR
2 - 6
IRN
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1996 |
KWT
2 - 0
KOR
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |