Hong Kong vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
0 - 0
CHN
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
0 - 3
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1995 |
HKG
1 - 3
YUG
12%
24%
64%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
HKG
1 - 2
KSA
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
HKG
0 - 1
UZB
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
KOR
1 - 1
JPN
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
CHN
0 - 0
KOR
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
KWT
2 - 1
KOR
27%
28%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1994 |
UZB
1 - 0
KOR
24%
24%
53%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1994 |
JPN
2 - 3
KOR
32%
28%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |