Hong Kong vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2003 |
HKG
3 - 0
MAC
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
HKG
2 - 0
TWN
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
HKG
0 - 3
QAT
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
HKG
2 - 1
MAS
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2001 |
PLE
1 - 0
HKG
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
TWN
4 - 0
MNG
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2003 |
MNG
2 - 0
GUM
55%
21%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
MAC
2 - 0
MNG
44%
23%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RUS
5 - 6
MNG
95%
5%
1%
|
40 | 91 | 51 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MNG
4 - 1
LTU
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | +2 |