Hong Kong vs Malaysia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
HKG
0 - 2
KWT
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
KWT
4 - 0
HKG
75%
17%
9%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
HKG
0 - 1
CHN
18%
25%
58%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
MAS
1 - 3
HKG
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
CHN
3 - 1
HKG
89%
8%
3%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
MAS
0 - 1
CHN
16%
25%
59%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
THA
1 - 2
MAS
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2004 |
MAS
2 - 0
SGP
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
CHN
4 - 0
MAS
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MAS
0 - 2
KWT
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |